In his keynote address, How HPC Revolutionized Storm Surge Modeling, Dawson delved into his research on hurricane storm surge forecasting. He provided an overview of his group’s work, tracing its start from the early 1990s to present-day goals. “We’re always seeking algorithmic improvements, with the ultimate aim of achieving high-resolution or hybrid compound flood risk analysis,” said Dawson, department chair of aerospace engineering & engineering mechanics at Cockrell School of Engineering and lead of Computational Hydraulics Group at the Oden Institute.
Dawson also stressed TACC's crucial role in advancing his research. “When a hurricane is approaching, we need to run multiple high-resolution ensemble models. TACC has consistently provided the computational power necessary when resources are available.”
As Dawson gave his keynote, he stated that storm surge modeling was being run on TACC’s computers in real time as Hurricane Helene was quickly approaching Florida’s gulf coast. “We want a five-day hurricane simulation to finish in 15 minutes, because that gives us time to process the results and post them before the next forecast," said Dawson. The storm became a Category 4 hurricane that made landfall on September 26, breaking records for storm surge in Florida. Dawson and his team used TACC’s Frontera supercomputer to model Hurricane Helene using data released by the National Hurricane Center every six hours.
Earlier this year, Dawson received the UT Austin President’s Research Impact Award for his research in data-driven storm-surge modeling, which has had a major impact on the response to natural disasters in Texas.
Currently, he is working on a global model—including 600,000 historical and synthetic hurricanes—to train artificial intelligence (AI) models and to understand the storm surging packs in different parts of the world.
“My group is heavily involved in machine learning to see what we can get out of these algorithms. Our goal is to develop a high resolution or hybrid compound flood risk analysis system,” Dawson concluded.